The economy and jobs are not just dollars; they are people's lives and livelihoods. David L. Katz – MD, MPH, FACPM, FACP, FACLM Dr. Katz Responds to the Coronavirus Pandemic For more information about Coronavirus, visit Dr. Katz’ Coronavirus Information and Resources page. The CDC estimates the COVID death risk for those over 75 years is 220 to 630 (increasing with age) times higher than for those between 18 and 29.

NYC has reported approximately 19,000 COVID deaths out of a population of 3.4 million.

The economy and a person's work are what allows them to support themselves and their family, provides them with satisfaction and purpose, and gives them the means to live their life as they decide. The lockdown suspended routine health care. David L. Katz, MD, MPH, FACPM, FACP, FACLM: Of COVID, Testing, Case Counts, and Waves My colleagues, Maria Chikina and Wes Pegden, were entirely correct in … We know case numbers are going up as testing goes up. The media gives the impression that COVID is the primary cause of death in the United States.

Yet, with more testing, the percentage of positive tests is falling dramatically. Nick Pandelidis is a physician who practices in York. Rather than a goal of no further COVID infections, policy should be reoriented to minimize total harm from the COVID virus, including the measures to contain the virus. The official NY state percentage is lower because state statistics only count those who died at a nursing home, not those transported from nursing homes to hospitals. Dr. David Katz put forth this concept of total harm minimization in his opinion piece in the New York Times back in March. The United States has been in various degrees of lockdown for five months. Sadly, data collection, analysis, and "science" concerning COVID has been politicized, and to all our detriment.

Rather than a goal of no further COVID infections, policy should be reoriented to minimize total harm from the COVID virus, including the measures to contain the virus. That 40% had those heart attacks, and many died at home who otherwise could have survived. The mainstream media has incited fears with continuous updates of COVID infections and deaths, particularly reporting those in seemingly otherwise young and healthy persons. In children under the age of 9, the fatality rate is 0.00161%. The virus and lockdown deterred persons from going to emergency rooms with other medical problems. We also must acknowledge and consider the significant economic, individual physical and psychological wellbeing, and societal harm caused by the lockdown. The elderly and infirmed are particularly at risk. Data collection, and in a more focused manner, will continue to improve our understanding of transmission, risks for a significant disease or death, and appropriate treatment. New York City was the initial center of infection in the US. That delay in diagnosis will result in more advanced disease, require more care, and end in higher death rates. A survey of US hospitals found that the number of persons presenting to emergency rooms with heart attacks had fallen nearly 40% since March. Boston Public Radio hosts Jim Braude and Margery Eagan ask Dr. Katz about his plan for a targeted response to the Coronavirus pandemic, March 30, 2020.

We know better how to treat those ill with COVID.

Every year, 2.4 million Americans die, including roughly 500,000 Americans between the age of 5 and 60 years. More information is needed. A nationwide study found that nearly 80% of 5th-8th grade girls have been having higher levels of anxiety and depression as a result of COVID and the lockdown. At the beginning of the COVID crisis, with many unknown variables, the lockdowns implemented were arguably justifiable. Statistically, persons under the age of 40 are more likely to die in a car accident. Medicare reimbursing hospitals more for patients diagnosed with COVID as compared to those similarly ill with other types of infections has inflated the numbers.

Rates of domestic violence, child abuse, and suicide have sharply increased with the lockdown. More: Pa. will resume nursing home visitations amid COVID-19, but there will be restrictions, More: Changes in COVID testing frustrates family mourning matriarch death. Dr. Katz is president of True Health Initiative and the founding director of the Yale-Griffin Prevention Research Center. To be clear, we cannot ignore the COVID threat. The virus was spreading among NYC's citizens weeks before any real danger was appreciated and weeks before the lockdown. Meanwhile, the lockdown resulted in over 100,000 NYC small businesses permanently closing, and NYC remains on lockdown.

Policy directed at preventing new cases, such as closing schools if a certain number of students or teachers test positive, is illogical. Aside from delayed medical care, Dr. David Katz, a Yale-trained specialist in preventive medicine and public health, testified before Congress that … The COVID experience in New York offers perspective. Governor Wolf, like Governor Cuomo, mandated that nursing homes take patients with confirmed COVID. Pennsylvania Department of Health Secretary Dr. Rachel Levine talks about the struggle to collect racial data on COVID-19 cases in Pennsylvania. The vast majority of COVID deaths in the United States have been among the elderly and the infirmed. A policy of total harm minimization from COVID based in what we now know about the virus and the detrimental consequences of the lockdown is past due and critical for the security and happiness of the citizens of our state and country. Many who died of other causes but tested positive for COVID are counted among the COVID fatalities. Levine: Progress on collecting racial data on COVID-19 cases. The CDC website now reports that of the 176,000 COVID attributed deaths, in only 6% was COVID, the only cause of death listed. Dr David Katz Makes The Case For Herd Immunity Against Covid-19 Rather Than Continuous Lockdown Dr. Katz on Life, Lifberty and Levin, Part 2. Case numbers are going up because testing has become more widespread. We know who is at risk of severe disease and death. The official tally – 176,000 COVID deaths – overstates the numbers who have died. Social isolation is associated with poor physical and psychological health and higher death rates. Considering the physical proximity of people living their lives in NYC, one can reasonably postulate that nearly the entire population was exposed to the virus. To put that into perspective, the fatality rate by accident for children is .004%. While the young and healthy are very unlikely to become seriously ill or die from COVID, less likely than dying in an accident, it is dangerous among the elderly and infirmed. In PA, 68% of COVID deaths were among nursing home residents. Math: The (pen)Ultimate Pandemic Reality Check Likely more than ½ those deaths were in nursing homes. As an example, the motorcyclist who died in a crash and tested positive for COVID. Pa. will resume nursing home visitations amid COVID-19, but there will be restrictions, Changes in COVID testing frustrates family mourning matriarch death, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. As more and better data are collected, the prevalence and fatality rates will be better understood; however, the trend is clear; those rates are falling as more information comes in.

On 8/30/20, New York State reported 434,100 new COVID cases and eight new COVID deaths. Had these governors not enacted this mistaken policy, COVID deaths would have been much lower.

On the other side of the calculation, we are learning that while COVID is a highly contagious and potentially lethal disease, it is not an equal opportunity pathogen. Now that deaths and hospitalizations have fallen, the mainstream media instead reports the numbers of new cases. The COVID death rate for a healthy person under the age of 50 is estimated to be 0.15%. Listen to the podcast here.

For the remaining 94% (166,000), on average, there were 2.6 associated illnesses or other causes of death.

Severe illness and deaths attributed to COVID have significantly declined. We also know that as a percentage, severe illness and death is falling precipitously. The lockdown resulted in 16 million people losing their jobs. The 150,000 Americans per month who have a new cancer detected through regular screening did not get that screening.

We now know more about the virus – who is at most risk to get seriously ill or to die, and how to treat those seriously ill.  We have also learned that the lockdown has caused significant unconsidered economic and societal harm. Typical of much government regulation, Medicare COVID policy creates unintended malincentives.

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